PolyAlpha
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9? was a Polymarket prediction market in the Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...? category. It opened on 2025-12-05 and resolved No (0¢) on 2025-12-09, with $662K in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.

FINAL PRICE
VOLUME$662K
OPENED2025-12-05
RESOLVED2025-12-09
RESOLVED
NO 100¢

Top Winning Wallets

WalletSideTradedProfitTradesHeld
0xbC97…Fd78 ↗NO$14K+$13K222d
0xC451…2609 ↗NO$30K+$11K2262d
0x6C46…781d ↗NO$14K+$11K690d
0x5589…d13b ↗NO$9K+$9K641d
0x6769…1d22 ↗NO$8K+$8K130d

Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.

Max Losing Wallets

WalletSideTradedLossTradesHeld
0x8046…0a1b ↗NO$47K-$38K3943d
0xC254…3F73 ↗YES$78K-$9K1923d
0x6964…ef53 ↗YES$8K-$8K130d
0x5bE7…1b1D ↗YES$6K-$6K110d
0x6f04…C263 ↗YES$7K-$6K511d

Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.

Frequently Asked Questions

How did "Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved No at 0¢ on 2025-12-09, with $662K in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0xbC97…Fd78 took the NO side and realized a +$13K profit, trading $14K across 22 trades over 2d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0x8046…0a1b took the NO side and lost $38K, trading $47K across 394 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.

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