Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31? was a Polymarket prediction market in the Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...? category. It opened on 2025-12-05 and resolved Yes (100¢) on 2025-12-31, with $452K in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.
FINAL PRICE100¢
VOLUME$452K
OPENED2025-12-05
RESOLVED2025-12-31
RESOLVED View on Polymarket ↗
Top Winning Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Profit | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0A7a…0279 ↗ | YES | $2K | +$78K | 33 | 0d |
| 0x8003…25c3 ↗ | NO | $59K | +$51K | 61 | 1d |
| 0x0cCB…605e ↗ | NO | $12K | +$2K | 28 | 1d |
| 0x1ff1…c85e ↗ | NO | $2K | +$1K | 19 | 0d |
| 0x21ff…0d71 ↗ | YES | $3K | +$1K | 62 | 3d |
Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.
Max Losing Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Loss | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9Efd…ad00 ↗ | NO | $60K | -$64K | 61 | 1d |
| 0x04aD…9A6D ↗ | NO | $12K | -$10K | 49 | 1d |
| 0xed3a…9b17 ↗ | NO | $2K | -$6K | 5 | 0d |
| 0xd5b9…E44E ↗ | NO | $4K | -$6K | 27 | 0d |
| 0xb51b…b4d9 ↗ | NO | $1K | -$6K | 27 | 3d |
Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did "Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved Yes at 100¢ on 2025-12-31, with $452K in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0x0A7a…0279 took the YES side and realized a +$78K profit, trading $2K across 33 trades over 0d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0x9Efd…ad00 took the NO side and lost $64K, trading $60K across 61 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.