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Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13? was a Polymarket prediction market in the Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...? category. It opened on 2025-12-05 and resolved Yes (100¢) on 2025-12-13, with $1.2M in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.

FINAL PRICE100¢
VOLUME$1.2M
OPENED2025-12-05
RESOLVED2025-12-13
RESOLVED
YES 100¢

Top Winning Wallets

WalletSideTradedProfitTradesHeld
0x0A7a…0279 ↗YES$6K+$31K781d
0x8003…25c3 ↗YES$3K+$19K341d
0xDe55…DC14 ↗YES$29K+$15K792d
0xe4b2…5dc9 ↗YES$25K+$11K421d
0xe0F7…683C ↗NO$39K+$7K2016d

Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.

Max Losing Wallets

WalletSideTradedLossTradesHeld
0xc6dD…4B9F ↗NO$52K-$25K1372d
0xA5Ad…Be8C ↗NO$25K-$22K1151d
0xECB1…5DA3 ↗YES$72K-$18K220d
0x5a40…4093 ↗NO$3K-$10K100d
0x8ee3…66AF ↗NO$11K-$9K363d

Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.

Frequently Asked Questions

How did "Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved Yes at 100¢ on 2025-12-13, with $1.2M in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0x0A7a…0279 took the YES side and realized a +$31K profit, trading $6K across 78 trades over 1d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0xc6dD…4B9F took the NO side and lost $25K, trading $52K across 137 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.

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