Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? was a Polymarket prediction market in the AfD % of vote in German Election? category. It opened on 2024-12-18 and resolved No (0¢) on 2025-02-23, with $4.8M in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.
FINAL PRICE0¢
VOLUME$4.8M
OPENED2024-12-18
RESOLVED2025-02-23
RESOLVED View on Polymarket ↗
Top Winning Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Profit | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcf0D…132d ↗ | NO | $100K | +$90K | 145 | 64d |
| 0x0DF7…d154 ↗ | NO | $72K | +$72K | 14 | 3d |
| 0xb4C4…EE73 ↗ | NO | $61K | +$54K | 66 | 7d |
| 0xb20f…B710 ↗ | NO | $55K | +$53K | 47 | 1d |
| 0xFA2C…a1e4 ↗ | NO | $46K | +$46K | 19 | 0d |
Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.
Max Losing Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Loss | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xD218…b5C9 ↗ | NO | $249K | -$223K | 4,900 | 85d |
| 0x4558…A2B3 ↗ | YES | $570K | -$148K | 713 | 15d |
| 0x63D4…A2f1 ↗ | NO | $87K | -$72K | 1,646 | 68d |
| 0xF2F6…5817 ↗ | NO | $41K | -$37K | 149 | 52d |
| 0xBB2b…0F90 ↗ | YES | $68K | -$36K | 56 | 49d |
Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did "Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved No at 0¢ on 2025-02-23, with $4.8M in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0xcf0D…132d took the NO side and realized a +$90K profit, trading $100K across 145 trades over 64d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0xD218…b5C9 took the NO side and lost $223K, trading $249K across 4,900 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.
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