Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? was a Polymarket prediction market in the AfD % of vote in German Election? category. It opened on 2024-12-18 and resolved No (0¢) on 2025-02-23, with $4.5M in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.
FINAL PRICE0¢
VOLUME$4.5M
OPENED2024-12-18
RESOLVED2025-02-23
RESOLVED View on Polymarket ↗
Top Winning Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Profit | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x36cc…8642 ↗ | NO | $158K | +$150K | 91 | 18d |
| 0x9a8F…64a7 ↗ | YES | $46K | +$31K | 262 | 6d |
| 0x63D4…A2f1 ↗ | NO | $87K | +$22K | 1,732 | 73d |
| 0x8795…7544 ↗ | YES | $73K | +$16K | 404 | 2d |
| 0xe372…Eb38 ↗ | NO | $22K | +$15K | 1,229 | 66d |
Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.
Max Losing Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Loss | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8A4c…532b ↗ | YES | $105K | -$102K | 54 | 16d |
| 0xD218…b5C9 ↗ | NO | $241K | -$38K | 5,485 | 73d |
| 0x68C2…1711 ↗ | YES | $32K | -$25K | 580 | 64d |
| 0x42A6…1B64 ↗ | YES | $21K | -$21K | 41 | 19d |
| 0xC8fc…fa36 ↗ | NO | $31K | -$19K | 63 | 0d |
Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did "Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved No at 0¢ on 2025-02-23, with $4.5M in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0x36cc…8642 took the NO side and realized a +$150K profit, trading $158K across 91 trades over 18d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0x8A4c…532b took the YES side and lost $102K, trading $105K across 54 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.
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