Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? was a Polymarket prediction market in the What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model? category. It opened on 2025-12-09 and resolved Yes (100¢) on 2025-12-11, with $9.2M in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.
FINAL PRICE100¢
VOLUME$9.2M
OPENED2025-12-09
RESOLVED2025-12-11
RESOLVED View on Polymarket ↗
Top Winning Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Profit | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x741F…36d1 ↗ | YES | $22K | +$391K | 179 | 1d |
| 0x2AE3…bc70 ↗ | YES | $23K | +$103K | 64 | 0d |
| 0x5927…7CaC ↗ | NO | $96K | +$67K | 7 | 1d |
| 0xDe55…DC14 ↗ | YES | $139K | +$63K | 58 | 5d |
| 0x1521…F23E ↗ | YES | $360K | +$50K | 66 | 2d |
Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.
Max Losing Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Loss | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0e5B…a593 ↗ | YES | $768K | -$231K | 107 | 3d |
| 0xD1C7…1D2B ↗ | YES | $1.22M | -$211K | 96 | 1d |
| 0x69B4…6322 ↗ | NO | $300K | -$100K | 29 | 2d |
| 0x69aA…8847 ↗ | YES | $110K | -$100K | 28 | 0d |
| 0xc6dD…4B9F ↗ | NO | $112K | -$59K | 157 | 2d |
Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did "Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved Yes at 100¢ on 2025-12-11, with $9.2M in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0x741F…36d1 took the YES side and realized a +$391K profit, trading $22K across 179 trades over 1d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0x0e5B…a593 took the YES side and lost $231K, trading $768K across 107 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.