Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31? was a Polymarket prediction market in the Google Gemini 3 score on LMArena by December 31? category. It opened on 2025-11-06 and resolved No (0¢) on 2025-12-31, with $382K in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.
FINAL PRICE0¢
VOLUME$382K
OPENED2025-11-06
RESOLVED2025-12-31
RESOLVED View on Polymarket ↗
Top Winning Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Profit | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3F3b…1D77 ↗ | NO | $22K | +$16K | 231 | 28d |
| 0x22e4…Ef1c ↗ | NO | $23K | +$10K | 136 | 25d |
| 0x00e1…b679 ↗ | NO | $25K | +$7K | 116 | 38d |
| 0x68d1…3c4D ↗ | NO | $9K | +$5K | 99 | 25d |
| 0x9d4a…6CB1 ↗ | NO | $3K | +$2K | 39 | 53d |
Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.
Max Losing Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Loss | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc6dD…4B9F ↗ | YES | $7K | -$7K | 1 | 0d |
| 0x7131…29CC ↗ | NO | $14K | -$5K | 69 | 34d |
| 0x9CD7…9c85 ↗ | YES | $10K | -$5K | 73 | 23d |
| 0x17ce…BEEc ↗ | YES | $12K | -$4K | 55 | 35d |
| 0xFB1B…A11D ↗ | YES | $4K | -$3K | 64 | 40d |
Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did "Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved No at 0¢ on 2025-12-31, with $382K in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0x3F3b…1D77 took the NO side and realized a +$16K profit, trading $22K across 231 trades over 28d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0xc6dD…4B9F took the YES side and lost $7K, trading $7K across 1 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.