Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? was a Polymarket prediction market in the Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote? category. It opened on 2024-05-14 and resolved Yes (100¢) on 2024-11-05, with $15.3M in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.
FINAL PRICE100¢
VOLUME$15.3M
OPENED2024-05-14
RESOLVED2024-11-05
RESOLVED View on Polymarket ↗
Top Winning Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Profit | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5668…5839 ↗ | YES | $742K | +$746K | 780 | 22d |
| 0x1F2D…D0CF ↗ | YES | $409K | +$614K | 1,082 | 58d |
| 0x8857…c270 ↗ | YES | $558K | +$603K | 500 | 7d |
| 0x2378…5Fcb ↗ | YES | $434K | +$407K | 347 | 6d |
| 0x0562…594f ↗ | YES | $180K | +$214K | 682 | 26d |
Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.
Max Losing Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Loss | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4cE7…aBad ↗ | NO | $321K | -$563K | 824 | 119d |
| 0x4A9A…f675 ↗ | NO | $329K | -$553K | 272 | 76d |
| 0x5bFF…fFbe ↗ | NO | $346K | -$443K | 124 | 21d |
| 0x59ee…684d ↗ | NO | $248K | -$329K | 498 | 174d |
| 0xE5c0…3f84 ↗ | NO | $915K | -$301K | 217 | 53d |
Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did "Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? " resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved Yes at 100¢ on 2024-11-05, with $15.3M in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0x5668…5839 took the YES side and realized a +$746K profit, trading $742K across 780 trades over 22d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0x4cE7…aBad took the NO side and lost $563K, trading $321K across 824 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.
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