US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? was a Polymarket prediction market in the US x Iran ceasefire by...? category. It opened on 2026-03-13 and resolved Yes (100¢) on 2026-12-31, with $2.1M in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.
FINAL PRICE100¢
VOLUME$2.1M
OPENED2026-03-13
RESOLVED2026-12-31
RESOLVED View on Polymarket ↗
Top Winning Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Profit | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9648…6825 ↗ | YES | $168K | +$103K | 694 | 22d |
| 0xDBAD…9C95 ↗ | YES | $67K | +$54K | 231 | 8d |
| 0x4ed2…914a ↗ | NO | $78K | +$48K | 22 | 0d |
| 0x730A…51a0 ↗ | YES | $12K | +$24K | 188 | 14d |
| 0x5Ecd…0787 ↗ | YES | $14K | +$19K | 94 | 17d |
Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.
Max Losing Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Loss | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3541…462e ↗ | NO | $29K | -$29K | 74 | 12d |
| 0xd44E…67e2 ↗ | NO | $43K | -$27K | 186 | 15d |
| 0xBC43…1540 ↗ | NO | $20K | -$18K | 54 | 2d |
| 0x1997…2e36 ↗ | NO | $62K | -$17K | 80 | 9d |
| 0x3b91…E572 ↗ | NO | $20K | -$15K | 124 | 8d |
Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did "US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved Yes at 100¢ on 2026-12-31, with $2.1M in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0x9648…6825 took the YES side and realized a +$103K profit, trading $168K across 694 trades over 22d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0x3541…462e took the NO side and lost $29K, trading $29K across 74 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.