Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16? was a Polymarket prediction market in the Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16? category. It opened on 2026-01-09 and resolved No (0¢) on 2026-01-16, with $513K in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.
FINAL PRICE0¢
VOLUME$513K
OPENED2026-01-09
RESOLVED2026-01-16
RESOLVED View on Polymarket ↗
Top Winning Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Profit | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5B00…7765 ↗ | NO | $23K | +$23K | 61 | 1d |
| 0x34D2…75a8 ↗ | NO | $19K | +$18K | 12 | 0d |
| 0xdec1…28BD ↗ | NO | $9K | +$8K | 17 | 0d |
| 0x6B44…Be1e ↗ | NO | $10K | +$7K | 36 | 1d |
| 0x67d6…245E ↗ | NO | $7K | +$7K | 40 | 0d |
Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.
Max Losing Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Loss | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc5AD…b0Cf ↗ | YES | $31K | -$28K | 39 | 4d |
| 0x7744…999e ↗ | YES | $11K | -$10K | 22 | 1d |
| 0x095d…52cf ↗ | YES | $7K | -$7K | 53 | 4d |
| 0xa8c6…44E8 ↗ | YES | $12K | -$5K | 63 | 6d |
| 0x22e4…Ef1c ↗ | YES | $5K | -$5K | 17 | 1d |
Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did "Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved No at 0¢ on 2026-01-16, with $513K in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0x5B00…7765 took the NO side and realized a +$23K profit, trading $23K across 61 trades over 1d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0xc5AD…b0Cf took the YES side and lost $28K, trading $31K across 39 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.