Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February? was a Polymarket prediction market in the Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February? category. It opened on 2026-02-19 and resolved Yes (100¢) on 2026-02-28, with $460K in total trading volume. Below: the real wallets that won and lost the most, with their entry, exit and profit.
FINAL PRICE100¢
VOLUME$460K
OPENED2026-02-19
RESOLVED2026-02-28
RESOLVED View on Polymarket ↗
Top Winning Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Profit | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4A2B…af20 ↗ | YES | $5K | +$23K | 39 | 0d |
| 0xeFDe…783D ↗ | YES | $4K | +$2K | 23 | 0d |
| 0x5e6a…521c ↗ | NO | $33K | +$2K | 6 | 0d |
| 0x2b12…43c8 ↗ | YES | $3K | +$1K | 11 | 0d |
| 0xde87…11A2 ↗ | NO | $4K | +$1K | 36 | 6d |
Real wallets ranked by realized profit. Click any wallet to view its public Polymarket profile.
Max Losing Wallets
| Wallet | Side | Traded | Loss | Trades | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xC8ab…6418 ↗ | NO | $68K | -$25K | 51 | 5d |
| 0x95dC…4b45 ↗ | NO | $10K | -$12K | 7 | 0d |
| 0x3c9f…069f ↗ | NO | $2K | -$10K | 5 | 0d |
| 0x6385…93f2 ↗ | NO | $7K | -$6K | 18 | 0d |
| 0x8F0d…8379 ↗ | NO | $5K | -$4K | 8 | 0d |
Real wallets with the largest losses on this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did "Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?" resolve on Polymarket?
It resolved Yes at 100¢ on 2026-02-28, with $460K in total volume.
Who made the most money on this market?
Wallet 0x4A2B…af20 took the YES side and realized a +$23K profit, trading $5K across 39 trades over 0d.
Who lost the most on this market?
Wallet 0xC8ab…6418 took the NO side and lost $25K, trading $68K across 51 trades.
Where does this data come from?
Market outcome, dates, status and volume come from public Polymarket data. Wallet-level winners and losers are computed from on-chain Polymarket trade records (maker/taker fills on Polygon). Not financial advice.